Macro Events & News
FX News Today
FX Update: The Yen has traded with a firming bias while the Australian Dollar and other Dollar bloc currencies have underperformed amid fresh risk aversion in global markets. USDJPY has drifted to the lower 112.0s, approaching the 11-day low seen on Wednesday at 111.82, while EURJPY ebbed to a two-month low and AUDJPY to a fresh six-week low, reflecting renewed safe haven demand for the Japanese currency as stock markets in Asia, and U.S. equity index futures, flagged soft revenue and guidance from Amazon and Google. USA500 futures were showing a 0.9% loss, nearly halving the regular-session gain the cash USA00 index saw on Wall Street yesterday. The JPN225, meanwhile, closed 0.4% for the worse. The PBoC set the USDCNY reference rate at 6.9510, the highest fixing since 2016 and up from 6.9492 yesterday. In data, the October Tokyo CPI figure met expectations at 1.5% y/y. EURUSD has found a toehold after printing a two-month low late yesterday at 1.1356 following ECB President Draghi’s dialing down of hawkishness at yesterday’s post-policy meeting press conference.
Asian Market Wrap: 10-year Treasury yields are down -2.1 bp at 3.096%, 10-year JGB yields lost a further -0.3 bp and are at 0.102%. Stock markets started mostly higher during the Asian session after a strong close on Wall Street, but many indices struggled to hang on to gains. U.S. futures are also heading south again as Amazon and Alphabet results dented optimism for tech stocks once again. As of 5:20GMT Topix and Nikkei were down -0.05% and -0.16% respectively. The Hang Seng Was down -0.88%, Shanghai and Shenzhen bourses lost -0.46% and -0.21% while the ASX managed a marginal 0.02% gain. Volatility seems to remain the order of the day amid the multitude of geopolitical risks and amid concerns that earnings have peaked and will increasingly reflect the impact of trade tensions.
Charts of the Day
US Real GDP – Expectations – The most important figure on the US is expected to come out at 3.3% at an annualized rate, down from 4.2% last quarter, also on account of the Fed rate hikes and the hurricane season.
US Personal Consumption Expenditures Prices – Expectations – The Fed’s favourite inflation measure is expected to remain stable at 2%, right on the Fed target.
Draghi Speech – Expectations – The ECB President is expected to speak at the National Bank of Belgium.
Support and Resistance Levels
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